← blog · 2026-09-11 · 6 min read

Robinhood Chain fomo tape · week 2026-W37

Week 2026-W37 on the hoodwatch.dev tape (2026-09-04 → 2026-09-11): $158,168,357 tracked Robinhood Chain volume, 951 first buys, crowding versus 24h peak, risk-flag kinds, and the paper desk.

Correction, 2026-09-12. The tables below were generated from an export that double-counted replayed fills (a database index that did not treat NULLs as equal let the same fill be inserted up to eight times on backfills). 11,955 duplicate rows were removed and outcome multiples are now measured on 5-minute median prices. The live numbers are in latest.md; this post keeps the original figures for the record.

This is the week of 2026-W37 (2026-09-04 → 2026-09-11, generated 2026-09-11T18:06Z) on the hoodwatch.dev tape. Tracked means fills by fomo.family leaderboard wallets, attributed on-chain on Robinhood Chain and Solana. The numbers below are from the public weekly export; they are not estimates.

Sources: latest.json, latest.md, weekly-2026-W37.json.

Overview

Real trades exclude transfers and airdrops. Solana volume is a small slice of the same leaderboard set; the rest of this post is the Robinhood Chain week unless a row says otherwise.

Launch outcomes

951 tokens had a first tracked buy this week. Peak is the median of three consecutive fills within 24 hours of that first buy.

Reached 2x: 37% · 5x: 15% · 10x: 6%.

Most launches still fail. The 37 percent that reached 2x is a fat-tail rate, not a reason to buy every first print.

Crowding in the first 30 minutes

How many tracked wallets were in during the first 30 minutes, versus later peak:

This is a selected week of launch outcomes, measured from the first tracked buy. It is not the 30-day copy-everything backtest in What 30 days of fomo tape data say about following the crowd, where late crowding was the exit liquidity for wallets that were already in. Here the 7+ bucket is 33 tokens; the 1-buyer bucket is 590.

Top runners

Peak within 24 hours of the first tracked buy. Links go to the hoodwatch.dev token and trader pages.

These are the export's top 15 by peak. A /token/{ticker} URL resolves to the most-traded contract with that symbol in the last 7 days; /trader/{handle} is the public fomo.family handle.

Risk flags

39 tokens flagged this week: 22 lp_pulled, 14 transfer_blocked, 2 pool_blocks_sells, 1 template. 19 launches were also flagged for unlocked LP (the liquidity position held by a plain wallet, not a launchpad contract).

The markdown export truncates the flag list; kind counts are from latest.json (risk.by_kind and risk.unlocked_lp_flagged). A flag is a contract or pool fact, not a price forecast.

Traders

First-buy leaders

First tracked buyer into a token that then ran. "Ran" here is ≥3x peak within 24 hours of that first buy.

DuckSoldier had the most first buys (78) and the most ≥3x outcomes (16). The week's largest peak, MARIO 284.3x, was a first buy by skoqv.

Most active

By fill count, DuckSoldier led with 1888 fills across 200 tokens (bought $496,758 / sold $896,594 / net $399,836). FartmanSacks was 748 fills and the largest net flow in the export table, $4,141,622 (bought $2,101,459 / sold $6,243,082). looc 1203 fills, wastr3L 909, frankdegods 822. Net flow is sold minus bought on attributed fills; it is not closed-trade P/L.

Paper desk

The golden-ticket paper desk for this week: closed 247 · wins 90 · P/L $1646 · best 46.25x. Rules are in The golden ticket playbook. These are paper fills, not live size.

Top tokens by tracked volume

Definitions

Tracked = wallets of fomo.family leaderboard traders. Real trades exclude transfers/airdrops. Outcomes use the median of three consecutive fills. All handles are public fomo.family handles.

The live tape, risk flags and research pages stay on hoodwatch.dev. This post is a weekly cut of that tape, not a product named hoodwatch.io.

hoodwatch.dev is unofficial and read-only, not affiliated with fomo.family or Robinhood. Nothing here is financial advice. Open the live tape.